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2024-12-14 09:54:46

In the stock market, it sounds very good if there are authoritative people who can make public the stock trading records and copy their homework directly. In fact, you may not be able to make money.


Suppose you copied your homework and bought a stock. As it happens, the stock price is at its lowest point, and it began to soar soon after buying. At this time, you have to face a choice. Keep it or sell it? You don't know exactly how many positions the client has in this stock, and you don't know whether he will sell it or not. In case he sold it when it was high, he said he had sold it after the stock price fell, so you lost money.There is a word that many people are disgusted with, "cognition". However, whether you are disgusted or not, this is a fact. If you don't reach that level of cognition, you may not be able to make money even if that authoritative person finally makes a lot of money.In the stock market, it sounds very good if there are authoritative people who can make public the stock trading records and copy their homework directly. In fact, you may not be able to make money.


This step is very important. If you really do it again, believe me, you must have a very different feeling about the stock you want to buy, and your cognitive level will be deeper. At the same time, you are growing slowly, and you will grow very fast by absorbing the good experience of your predecessors. After restoring the logic of the parties, next, you have to ask questions and challenge each logic item by item. For example, the parties think that the company's performance will increase by 20% next year because of XXX. At this time, you have to ask, will XXX definitely happen next year? What if it doesn't happen? Follow this line of thinking and find your own answer. For another example, the parties think that the intrinsic value of the company is XX yuan, which is obviously underestimated compared with the market value. At this time, you have to ask, is the intrinsic value of the target company estimated correctly? Is it possible that it is wrong? Are there any missing factors? Similarly, along this line of thinking, I slowly think about it and slowly look for it in public materials such as annual reports. The third step is to find the research report of the brokerage firm, preferably the kind of in-depth research report, read it from beginning to end, and it is best to read more copies. The part of predicting performance can be ignored, mainly depending on the research framework of the research report, to understand what dimension the analyst started from, what the structure is, what the progressive relationship is, and how to disassemble the company's business. In the research report, there are a lot of data that are very valuable, which are bought by brokers. It is difficult for ordinary investors to get these data, so you can read more and more research reports, but you must not believe the predictions in the research report, especially the company's profitability next year and the year after. If you read the research reports of previous years, you will find that the forecast data are mostly nonsense. In the end, if you are also very confident and optimistic about this company, you can buy it, which becomes your own thing. You have left the client and you have grown up slowly.This step is very important. If you really do it again, believe me, you must have a very different feeling about the stock you want to buy, and your cognitive level will be deeper. At the same time, you are growing slowly, and you will grow very fast by absorbing the good experience of your predecessors. After restoring the logic of the parties, next, you have to ask questions and challenge each logic item by item. For example, the parties think that the company's performance will increase by 20% next year because of XXX. At this time, you have to ask, will XXX definitely happen next year? What if it doesn't happen? Follow this line of thinking and find your own answer. For another example, the parties think that the intrinsic value of the company is XX yuan, which is obviously underestimated compared with the market value. At this time, you have to ask, is the intrinsic value of the target company estimated correctly? Is it possible that it is wrong? Are there any missing factors? Similarly, along this line of thinking, I slowly think about it and slowly look for it in public materials such as annual reports. The third step is to find the research report of the brokerage firm, preferably the kind of in-depth research report, read it from beginning to end, and it is best to read more copies. The part of predicting performance can be ignored, mainly depending on the research framework of the research report, to understand what dimension the analyst started from, what the structure is, what the progressive relationship is, and how to disassemble the company's business. In the research report, there are a lot of data that are very valuable, which are bought by brokers. It is difficult for ordinary investors to get these data, so you can read more and more research reports, but you must not believe the predictions in the research report, especially the company's profitability next year and the year after. If you read the research reports of previous years, you will find that the forecast data are mostly nonsense. In the end, if you are also very confident and optimistic about this company, you can buy it, which becomes your own thing. You have left the client and you have grown up slowly.

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